Single poll

Forsa poll of 7 December 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
30 Nov 2021 to 6 Dec 2021
Respondents
2,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Nov 2021.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 30 Nov 2021 to 6 Dec 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Nov 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.6average 12.6
  • SPD -1.3average 26.3
  • Grüne +1.2average 15.8
  • AfD -0.8average 10.8
  • Linke -0.2average 5.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 21.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 175 seatsCDU/CSU: 154 seatsGrüne: 119 seatsFDP: 77 seatsAfD: 70 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD175
  • CDU/CSU154
  • Grüne119
  • FDP77
  • AfD70
  • Linke35
  • SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD343 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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