Forsa poll of 19 December 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 18 Dec 2020
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU37.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- AfD8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Dec 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Dec 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Dec 2020, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.7average 9.7
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 36.4
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- Grüne +0.1average 18.9
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU250
- Grüne129
- SPD102
- Linke54
- AfD54
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.