Single poll

Forsa poll of 12 December 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
7 to 11 Dec 2020
Respondents
2,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU37.0%+1.0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Dec 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Dec 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Dec 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.8average 9.8
  • Grüne +1.2average 18.8
  • FDP -1.2average 6.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 36.4
  • SPD -0.6average 15.6
  • Linke +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 251 seatsGrüne: 135 seatsSPD: 102 seatsLinke: 54 seatsAfD: 54 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU251
  • Grüne135
  • SPD102
  • Linke54
  • AfD54
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne386 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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