Single poll

Forsa poll of 5 September 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
31 Aug 2020 to 4 Sep 2020
Respondents
2,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%+2.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Aug 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 31 Aug 2020 to 4 Sep 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Aug 2020, Linke gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.6average 7.4
  • AfD -1.1average 10.1
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 36.9
  • FDP -0.6average 5.6
  • Grüne -0.5average 18.5
  • SPD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 244 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsSPD: 108 seatsLinke: 61 seatsAfD: 61 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU244
  • Grüne122
  • SPD108
  • Linke61
  • AfD61
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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