Single poll

Forsa poll of 29 August 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
24 to 28 Aug 2020
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Aug 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Aug 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Aug 2020, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.3average 17.7
  • AfD -1.0average 10.0
  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 36.9
  • Linke -0.9average 7.9
  • SPD +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 246 seatsGrüne: 130 seatsSPD: 110 seatsAfD: 62 seatsLinke: 48 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU246
  • Grüne130
  • SPD110
  • AfD62
  • Linke48
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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