Forsa poll of 31 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%+2.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Mar 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Mar 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -0.7average 10.7
- AfD -0.6average 13.6
- Grüne +0.6average 11.4
- FDP -0.2average 9.2
- CDU/CSU ±0average 33.0
- SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- SPD119
- AfD86
- Grüne80
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.