Forsa poll of 24 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%-3.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Mar 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Mar 2018, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 33.0
- SPD +0.9average 18.1
- AfD +0.5average 13.5
- Grüne +0.4average 11.6
- Linke +0.3average 10.7
- FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD125
- AfD92
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.