Forsa poll of 18 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 17 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 1,504
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%-2.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Jan 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,504 people were surveyed from 15 to 17 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Jan 2018, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.6average 20.6
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 32.6
- AfD -1.1average 13.1
- Grüne +1.0average 11.0
- FDP -1.0average 9.0
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU228
- SPD121
- Grüne80
- AfD80
- Linke67
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.