Forsa poll of 15 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 12 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jan 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jan 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.1average 13.1
- Grüne +1.0average 11.0
- Linke -0.7average 9.7
- SPD -0.6average 20.6
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 32.6
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- SPD134
- Grüne81
- AfD74
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.