Single poll

Forsa poll of 7 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
29 May 2017 to 2 Jun 2017
Respondents
2,501
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU39.0%+1.0
  • SPD24.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 May 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 29 May 2017 to 2 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 May 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.3average 8.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 37.9
  • SPD -1.1average 25.1
  • FDP -0.5average 8.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 7.5
  • Linke -0.5average 8.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 261 seatsSPD: 161 seatsFDP: 54 seatsGrüne: 54 seatsLinke: 53 seatsAfD: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU261
  • SPD161
  • FDP54
  • Grüne54
  • Linke53
  • AfD47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD422 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD361 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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