Single poll

Forsa poll of 31 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
22 to 26 May 2017
Respondents
2,001
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 May 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 May 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.4average 26.4
  • AfD -1.4average 8.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.8average 37.2
  • FDP +0.7average 8.3
  • Linke -0.3average 8.3
  • Grüne -0.3average 7.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 255 seatsSPD: 167 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 54 seatsGrüne: 47 seatsAfD: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU255
  • SPD167
  • FDP60
  • Linke54
  • Grüne47
  • AfD47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD422 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.