Single poll

pollytix poll of 3 August 2018 for the Bremen state election

Commissioned by
SPD Bremen
Fieldwork period
22 Jun 2018 to 2 Jul 2018
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD28.0%
  • CDU24.0%
  • Grüne14.0%
  • Linke14.0%
  • FDP10.0%
  • AfD8.0%
  • Others2.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll pollytix has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 22 Jun 2018 to 2 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SPD Bremen.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, pollytix has SPD 4.0 points higher and Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +4.0average 24.0
  • Linke -2.0average 16.0
  • FDP +2.0average 8.0
  • AfD -1.5average 9.5
  • CDU ±0average 24.0
  • Grüne ±0average 14.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.

SPD: 25 seatsCDU: 21 seatsGrüne: 13 seatsLinke: 12 seatsFDP: 9 seatsAfD: 7 seatsMajority from 4487of 87 seats
  • SPD25
  • CDU21
  • Grüne13
  • Linke12
  • FDP9
  • AfD7
  • SPD + CDU46 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke50 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP47 of 87
  • SPD + Linke + FDP46 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke46 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD45 of 87
  • SPD + Linke + AfD44 of 87
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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