Policy Matters poll of 28 December 2022 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- SPD Brandenburg
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Nov 2022 to 15 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,011
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD27.0%+4.0
- AfD23.0%+2.0
- CDU17.0%-4.0
- Linke9.0%-9.0
- Grüne7.0%-3.0
- FDP6.0%+3.0
- BVB/FW5.0%
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Policy Matters poll of 10 Jan 2019.
In this poll Policy Matters has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,011 people were surveyed from 28 Nov 2022 to 15 Dec 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SPD Brandenburg.
Compared with the previous Policy Matters poll of 10 Jan 2019, Linke loses 9.0 points, SPD gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Policy Matters has Grüne 3.7 points lower and SPD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.7average 10.7
- SPD +3.0average 24.0
- FDP +2.2average 3.8
- AfD -2.0average 25.0
- CDU +0.8average 16.2
- BVB/FW -0.3average 5.3
- Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD25
- AfD21
- CDU16
- Linke8
- Grüne7
- FDP6
- BVB/FW5
- SPD + AfD46 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne48 of 88
- SPD + CDU + FDP47 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BVB/FW46 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.