Single poll
Policy Matters poll of 10 January 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- SPD Brandenburg
- Fieldwork period
- 19 Nov 2018 to 6 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD23.0%
- AfD21.0%
- CDU21.0%
- Linke18.0%
- Grüne10.0%
- FDP3.0%
- Others4.0%
23.0%
SPD
21.0%
AfD
21.0%
CDU
18.0%
Linke
10.0%
Grüne
3.0%
FDP
4.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Policy Matters has SPD ahead on 23.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 19 Nov 2018 to 6 Dec 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SPD Brandenburg.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Policy Matters has FDP 2.0 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.0average 5.0
- SPD +1.5average 21.5
- CDU +1.0average 20.0
- Linke +1.0average 17.0
- AfD -0.5average 21.5
- Grüne +0.5average 9.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD22
- AfD20
- CDU20
- Linke17
- Grüne9
- SPD + AfD + CDU62 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke59 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke59 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke57 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne51 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne51 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- SPD + Linke + Grüne48 of 88
- AfD + Linke + Grüne46 of 88
- CDU + Linke + Grüne46 of 88
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.