Infratest dimap poll of 10 December 2024 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 1,183
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD30.0%+3.0
- SPD28.0%+2.0
- CDU15.0%-1.0
- BSW12.0%-1.0
- Grüne5.0%+0.5
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Sep 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,183 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Dec 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Sep 2024, AfD gains 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.3average 27.7
- SPD +1.3average 26.7
- BSW -1.2average 13.2
- Grüne +0.8average 4.2
- CDU +0.5average 14.5
- Linke +0.5average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD29
- SPD27
- CDU15
- BSW12
- Grüne5
- AfD + SPD56 of 88
- AfD + CDU + BSW56 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BSW54 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
- AfD + BSW + Grüne46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.