Infratest dimap poll of 12 September 2024 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- ARD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 11 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 1,513
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD27.0%±0
- SPD26.0%+3.0
- CDU16.0%-2.0
- BSW13.0%-2.0
- Grüne4.5%-0.5
- BVB/FW4.5%+1.5
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Sep 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,513 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Sep 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Sep 2024, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, BSW loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 5.7 points higher and BSW 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +5.7average 20.3
- BSW -2.8average 15.8
- CDU -1.0average 17.0
- Grüne -0.8average 5.3
- Linke -0.3average 4.3
- BVB/FW +0.2average 4.3
- AfD ±0average 27.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD29
- SPD28
- CDU17
- BSW14
- AfD + SPD57 of 88
- AfD + CDU46 of 88
- SPD + CDU45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.