Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 9 April 2019 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg
Fieldwork period
2 to 6 Apr 2019
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD22.0%-1.0
  • CDU20.0%-1.0
  • AfD19.0%-4.0
  • Linke16.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%+5.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Sep 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 22.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Sep 2018, Grüne gains 5.0 points, AfD loses 4.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -1.3average 17.3
  • Grüne +1.3average 10.7
  • AfD -1.0average 20.0
  • SPD +0.7average 21.3
  • FDP +0.7average 4.3
  • CDU -0.3average 20.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

SPD: 20 seatsCDU: 19 seatsAfD: 18 seatsLinke: 15 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • SPD20
  • CDU19
  • AfD18
  • Linke15
  • Grüne11
  • FDP5
  • SPD + CDU + AfD57 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Linke54 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Linke53 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Linke52 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne49 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne48 of 88
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne46 of 88
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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