Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 19 September 2018 for the Brandenburg state election

Commissioned by
RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg
Fieldwork period
12 to 17 Sep 2018
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • AfD23.0%+1.0
  • CDU21.0%-2.0
  • Linke17.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Apr 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 23.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 12 to 17 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Apr 2018, CDU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 3.0 points higher and AfD 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +3.0average 18.0
  • AfD +2.0average 21.0
  • Linke -1.0average 18.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 8.0
  • SPD ±0average 23.0
  • FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.

SPD: 21 seatsAfD: 21 seatsCDU: 19 seatsLinke: 16 seatsGrüne: 6 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • SPD21
  • AfD21
  • CDU19
  • Linke16
  • Grüne6
  • FDP5
  • SPD + AfD + CDU61 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Linke58 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Linke56 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Linke56 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne48 of 88
  • SPD + AfD + FDP47 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne46 of 88
  • SPD + CDU + FDP45 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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