INSA poll of 14 August 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU20.0%+2.0
- Linke19.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%-2.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+2.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jul 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 20.0%, followed by Linke on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jul 2026, CDU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 3.0 points higher and Linke 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.0average 12.0
- Linke -2.5average 21.5
- Grüne -1.0average 17.0
- CDU +0.5average 19.5
- AfD ±0average 17.0
- FDP ±0average 3.0
- BSW ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU30
- Linke28
- AfD25
- Grüne24
- SPD23
- CDU + Linke + AfD83 of 130
- CDU + Linke + Grüne82 of 130
- CDU + Linke + SPD81 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne79 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD78 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD77 of 130
- Linke + AfD + Grüne77 of 130
- Linke + AfD + SPD76 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + SPD75 of 130
- AfD + Grüne + SPD72 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.