Single poll
Civey poll of 14 June 2025 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 30 May 2025 to 13 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 5,001
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 5,001 people were surveyed from 30 May 2025 to 13 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 10 May 2025, AfD gains 3.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 6.5 points higher and CSU 3.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +6.5average 15.5
- CSU -3.5average 42.5
- Freie Wähler -2.5average 11.5
- BSW -2.0average 5.0
- SPD -1.0average 8.0
- Grüne +0.7average 11.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU79
- AfD45
- Grüne24
- Freie Wähler18
- SPD14
- CSU + AfD124 of 180
- CSU + Grüne103 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler97 of 180
- CSU + SPD93 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 10 May 2025Civey, 14 Jul 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.