Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 29 September 2022 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
Fieldwork period
26 to 27 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,183
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD27.0%-7.0
  • CDU27.0%+1.0
  • Grüne14.0%+3.0
  • AfD12.0%+5.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler4.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Mar 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,183 people were surveyed from 26 to 27 Sep 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Mar 2022, SPD loses 7.0 points, AfD gains 5.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 7.5 points lower and AfD 5.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -7.5average 34.5
  • AfD +5.5average 6.5
  • FDP +3.0average 5.0
  • Freie Wähler -2.5average 6.5
  • CDU +0.5average 26.5
  • Grüne ±0average 14.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 31 seatsCDU: 31 seatsGrüne: 16 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • SPD31
  • CDU31
  • Grüne16
  • AfD14
  • FDP9
  • SPD + CDU62 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD61 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD61 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP56 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP56 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + FDP54 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + FDP54 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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