Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 5 March 2020 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
Fieldwork period
27 Feb 2020 to 3 Mar 2020
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU27.0%-3.0
  • SPD26.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%+2.0
  • AfD11.0%-2.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%+2.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Dec 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2020 to 3 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Dec 2019, CDU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 4.0 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +4.0average 22.0
  • Grüne -2.0average 20.0
  • Linke +2.0average 4.0
  • CDU -1.0average 28.0
  • AfD -1.0average 12.0
  • FDP -1.0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 29 seatsSPD: 28 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsAfD: 12 seatsFDP: 7 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU29
  • SPD28
  • Grüne19
  • AfD12
  • FDP7
  • Linke6
  • CDU + SPD57 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD60 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD59 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP55 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke54 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP54 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke53 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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