Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 21 March 2019 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
Fieldwork period
14 to 18 Mar 2019
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU31.0%±0
  • SPD24.0%±0
  • Grüne14.0%-2.0
  • AfD11.0%-2.0
  • FDP10.0%+3.0
  • Linke6.0%+2.0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Dec 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Dec 2018, FDP gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.0 points lower and FDP 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.0average 26.0
  • FDP +2.0average 8.0
  • AfD +1.0average 10.0
  • Linke +1.0average 5.0
  • CDU ±0average 31.0
  • Grüne ±0average 14.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 33 seatsSPD: 25 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 12 seatsFDP: 10 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU33
  • SPD25
  • Grüne15
  • AfD12
  • FDP10
  • Linke6
  • CDU + SPD58 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD60 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP58 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + FDP55 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke54 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD52 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + Linke51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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