Single poll

Forsa poll of 11 February 2019 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
1 to 8 Feb 2019
Respondents
1,005
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU31.0%
  • SPD26.0%
  • Grüne14.0%
  • AfD10.0%
  • FDP8.0%
  • Linke5.0%
  • Others6.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 1 to 8 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.0 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -3.0average 13.0
  • SPD +2.0average 24.0
  • Grüne -2.0average 16.0
  • FDP +1.0average 7.0
  • Linke +1.0average 4.0
  • CDU ±0average 31.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 33 seatsSPD: 28 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 11 seatsFDP: 9 seatsLinke: 5 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU33
  • SPD28
  • Grüne15
  • AfD11
  • FDP9
  • Linke5
  • CDU + SPD61 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD59 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP57 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD54 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke53 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + FDP53 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP52 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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