INSA poll of 7 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.5%-0.5
- AfD17.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne10.5%+0.5
- BSW9.5%+0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others9.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Aug 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Aug 2024, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 1.8 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.8average 7.7
- Grüne -1.7average 12.2
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.9
- SPD +0.4average 14.6
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- AfD ±0average 17.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD122
- SPD108
- Grüne76
- BSW68
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.