INSA poll of 17 February 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 Feb 2024
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%-1.5
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%+0.5
- BSW8.0%+0.5
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- Linke3.0%-0.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Feb 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Feb 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Feb 2024, AfD loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.7average 6.3
- SPD -1.3average 15.3
- FDP -0.6average 4.6
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 30.5
- Grüne -0.3average 13.3
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- Freie Wähler +0.3average 2.7
- AfD -0.2average 19.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- AfD141
- SPD104
- Grüne96
- BSW59
- CDU/CSU + AfD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.