INSA poll of 4 August 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jul 2020 to 3 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 2,090
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU36.5%±0
- Grüne16.5%+0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke8.5%+0.5
- FDP6.5%-0.5
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jul 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.5%, followed by Grüne on 16.5%. 2,090 people were surveyed from 31 Jul 2020 to 3 Aug 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jul 2020, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.2average 18.7
- AfD +1.1average 9.9
- FDP +0.9average 5.6
- Linke +0.8average 7.7
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 37.2
- SPD +0.3average 14.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU244
- Grüne111
- SPD100
- AfD74
- Linke57
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.