Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 31 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
28 to 30 Aug 2017
Respondents
1,411
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
  • SPD23.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Aug 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,411 people were surveyed from 28 to 30 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Aug 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +2.5average 8.5
  • CDU/CSU -1.3average 38.3
  • FDP -0.8average 8.8
  • Grüne +0.7average 7.3
  • SPD -0.4average 23.4
  • Linke +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 243 seatsSPD: 151 seatsAfD: 72 seatsLinke: 59 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU243
  • SPD151
  • AfD72
  • Linke59
  • FDP53
  • Grüne52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD394 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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