Forsa poll of 21 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 2,510
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+3.0
- SPD19.0%-2.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Feb 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,510 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Feb 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.2 points higher and AfD 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.2average 27.8
- AfD -2.1average 15.1
- SPD -1.7average 20.7
- FDP -0.7average 6.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- Grüne -0.1average 17.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU214
- SPD131
- Grüne118
- AfD90
- FDP42
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.