Single poll

Forsa poll of 20 September 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
13 to 19 Sep 2022
Respondents
2,506
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • SPD19.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Sep 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Sep 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Sep 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.4average 20.4
  • Linke -0.5average 5.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
  • SPD +0.3average 18.7
  • AfD -0.1average 13.1
  • FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 194 seatsSPD: 132 seatsGrüne: 131 seatsAfD: 90 seatsFDP: 48 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU194
  • SPD132
  • Grüne131
  • AfD90
  • FDP48
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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