Single poll

Forsa poll of 6 September 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
30 Aug 2022 to 5 Sep 2022
Respondents
2,500
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • Grüne24.0%-1.0
  • SPD18.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Aug 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 30 Aug 2022 to 5 Sep 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Aug 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.4average 22.6
  • AfD -1.3average 12.3
  • SPD -0.8average 18.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 26.7
  • FDP -0.5average 7.5
  • Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 180 seatsGrüne: 166 seatsSPD: 125 seatsAfD: 76 seatsFDP: 48 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU180
  • Grüne166
  • SPD125
  • AfD76
  • FDP48
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD381 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP339 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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