Single poll

Forsa poll of 14 November 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
9 to 13 Nov 2020
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Nov 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Nov 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Nov 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
  • SPD -0.6average 15.6
  • Linke +0.5average 7.5
  • AfD -0.3average 10.3
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 35.9
  • Grüne +0.1average 18.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 244 seatsGrüne: 129 seatsSPD: 101 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU244
  • Grüne129
  • SPD101
  • AfD68
  • Linke54
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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