Single poll
Forsa poll of 31 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 30 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 26 to 30 Oct 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Oct 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 35.7
- AfD -0.7average 10.7
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- Grüne -0.2average 19.2
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- Grüne127
- SPD107
- AfD67
- Linke54
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP329 of 630
More
More polls
← Forsa, 24 Oct 2020Forsa, 7 Nov 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.