Forsa poll of 3 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Sep 2020 to 2 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU36.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Sep 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 29 Sep 2020 to 2 Oct 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Sep 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.6average 10.6
- Grüne +0.9average 19.1
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- Linke -0.6average 7.6
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 35.8
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU244
- Grüne135
- SPD102
- AfD61
- Linke47
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.