Single poll

Forsa poll of 19 September 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
14 to 19 Sep 2020
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • Grüne22.0%+4.0
  • SPD14.0%-2.0
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Sep 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 14 to 19 Sep 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Sep 2020, Grüne gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.5 points higher and AfD 2.4 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +3.5average 18.5
  • AfD -2.4average 10.4
  • SPD -2.3average 16.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 36.4
  • Linke +0.4average 7.6
  • FDP -0.4average 5.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 244 seatsGrüne: 149 seatsSPD: 95 seatsLinke: 54 seatsAfD: 54 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU244
  • Grüne149
  • SPD95
  • Linke54
  • AfD54
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne393 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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