Single poll

Forsa poll of 6 June 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
2 to 5 Jun 2020
Respondents
2,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU40.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 May 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Jun 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 May 2020, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.2 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.2average 17.2
  • CDU/CSU +1.8average 38.2
  • AfD -1.6average 9.6
  • SPD +0.8average 15.2
  • FDP +0.3average 5.7
  • Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 271 seatsSPD: 108 seatsGrüne: 102 seatsLinke: 54 seatsAfD: 54 seatsFDP: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU271
  • SPD108
  • Grüne102
  • Linke54
  • AfD54
  • FDP41
  • CDU/CSU + SPD379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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