Forsa poll of 7 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 6 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- SPD11.0%-3.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Nov 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Dec 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Nov 2019, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.9average 13.9
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
- FDP +0.8average 8.2
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- Grüne +0.4average 21.6
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne150
- AfD96
- SPD75
- FDP62
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.