Forsa poll of 17 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- Grüne24.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Aug 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Aug 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 27.3
- FDP +1.0average 8.0
- AfD -0.3average 13.3
- Grüne -0.2average 24.2
- SPD -0.2average 13.2
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU171
- Grüne164
- SPD89
- AfD89
- FDP62
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.