Single poll

Forsa poll of 6 July 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
1 to 5 Jul 2019
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • Grüne26.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Jun 2019.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Jun 2019, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.1average 13.1
  • Grüne +1.0average 25.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 26.8
  • AfD -0.8average 12.8
  • FDP +0.2average 7.8
  • Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 178 seatsGrüne: 178 seatsSPD: 82 seatsAfD: 82 seatsFDP: 55 seatsLinke: 55 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU178
  • Grüne178
  • SPD82
  • AfD82
  • FDP55
  • Linke55
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD342 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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