Forsa poll of 19 July 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU40.0%+1.0
- SPD22.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Grüne8.0%±0
- AfD7.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jul 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jul 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 24.3
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 38.6
- AfD -1.0average 8.0
- FDP -0.6average 8.6
- Grüne +0.4average 7.6
- Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU268
- SPD147
- Linke60
- FDP54
- Grüne54
- AfD47
- CDU/CSU + SPD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.