Single poll

INSA poll of 19 August 2026 for the Bremen state election

Commissioned by
INSA
Fieldwork period
28 Jul 2026 to 4 Aug 2026
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • CDU21.0%-7.0
  • SPD20.0%-10.0
  • AfD17.0%
  • Grüne15.0%+3.0
  • Linke14.0%+5.0
  • FDP4.0%-2.0
  • BD3.0%-5.0
  • BSW3.0%
  • Others3.0%-4.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 May 2023.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 21.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 28 Jul 2026 to 4 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by INSA.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 May 2023, SPD loses 10.0 points, CDU loses 7.0 points, Linke gains 5.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 3.0 points lower and SPD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -3.0average 24.0
  • SPD -2.0average 22.0
  • AfD +2.0average 15.0
  • Linke +1.0average 13.0
  • Grüne ±0average 15.0
  • BSW ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.

CDU: 21 seatsSPD: 20 seatsAfD: 17 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsLinke: 14 seatsMajority from 4487of 87 seats
  • CDU21
  • SPD20
  • AfD17
  • Grüne15
  • Linke14
  • CDU + SPD + AfD58 of 87
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne56 of 87
  • CDU + SPD + Linke55 of 87
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne53 of 87
  • CDU + AfD + Linke52 of 87
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne52 of 87
  • SPD + AfD + Linke51 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke50 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke49 of 87
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke46 of 87
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.