Single poll

INSA poll of 29 April 2023 for the Bremen state election

Commissioned by
Bürger in Wut
Fieldwork period
21 to 28 Apr 2023
Respondents
500
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD30.0%+7.0
  • CDU30.0%+2.0
  • Grüne15.0%-3.0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • BD7.0%+5.0
  • Linke6.0%-5.0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 May 2019.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 500 people were surveyed from 21 to 28 Apr 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Bürger in Wut.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 May 2019, SPD gains 7.0 points, BD gains 5.0 points, Linke loses 5.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 5.2 points higher and Grüne 3.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +5.2average 24.8
  • Grüne -3.3average 18.3
  • BD +2.7average 4.3
  • Linke -2.0average 8.0
  • FDP +1.7average 5.3
  • SPD +0.7average 29.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.

SPD: 28 seatsCDU: 27 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsFDP: 6 seatsLinke: 6 seatsBD: 6 seatsMajority from 4487of 87 seats
  • SPD28
  • CDU27
  • Grüne14
  • FDP6
  • Linke6
  • BD6
  • SPD + CDU55 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP48 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke48 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + BD48 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP47 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke47 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + BD47 of 87
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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