Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 4 May 2023 for the Bremen state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
1 to 3 May 2023
Respondents
1,450
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD30.0%-1.0
  • CDU27.0%-1.0
  • Grüne13.0%-4.0
  • Linke10.0%+3.0
  • BD9.0%+3.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Apr 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,450 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 May 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Apr 2023, Grüne loses 4.0 points, Linke gains 3.0 points, BD gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 3.0 points higher and Grüne 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +3.0average 7.0
  • Grüne -2.3average 15.3
  • BD +1.7average 7.3
  • SPD -1.0average 31.0
  • CDU -1.0average 28.0
  • FDP -0.5average 6.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.

SPD: 28 seatsCDU: 25 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsLinke: 9 seatsBD: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4487of 87 seats
  • SPD28
  • CDU25
  • Grüne12
  • Linke9
  • BD8
  • FDP5
  • SPD + CDU53 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke49 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + BD48 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke46 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP45 of 87
  • SPD + Linke + BD45 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + BD45 of 87
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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