Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 7 February 2019 for the Bremen state election

Commissioned by
Weser-Kurier
Fieldwork period
24 to 30 Jan 2019
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU25.0%+1.0
  • SPD24.0%-2.0
  • Grüne18.0%+4.0
  • Linke13.0%-2.0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 May 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Weser-Kurier.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 May 2018, Grüne gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has FDP 2.7 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -2.7average 8.7
  • Grüne +2.0average 16.0
  • SPD -1.3average 25.3
  • Linke -1.3average 14.3
  • CDU +0.3average 24.7
  • AfD ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.

CDU: 23 seatsSPD: 22 seatsGrüne: 17 seatsLinke: 12 seatsAfD: 7 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 4487of 87 seats
  • CDU23
  • SPD22
  • Grüne17
  • Linke12
  • AfD7
  • FDP6
  • CDU + SPD45 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke52 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke51 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD47 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP46 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD46 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP45 of 87
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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