Single poll
IFM Berlin poll of 9 June 2023 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Die Linke Brandenburg
- Fieldwork period
- 22 May 2023 to 1 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD24.0%
- AfD24.0%
- CDU17.0%
- Linke12.0%
- Grüne10.0%
- BVB/FW8.0%
- FDP4.0%
- Others2.0%
24.0%
SPD
24.0%
AfD
17.0%
CDU
12.0%
Linke
10.0%
Grüne
8.0%
BVB/FW
4.0%
FDP
2.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll IFM Berlin has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 22 May 2023 to 1 Jun 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Die Linke Brandenburg.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, IFM Berlin has Linke 3.5 points higher and BVB/FW 2.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +3.5average 8.5
- BVB/FW +2.6average 5.4
- CDU -2.0average 19.0
- Grüne +1.2average 8.8
- SPD +0.6average 23.4
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- AfD -0.3average 24.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD22
- AfD22
- CDU16
- Linke11
- Grüne9
- BVB/FW8
- SPD + AfD + CDU60 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke55 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne53 of 88
- SPD + AfD + BVB/FW52 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BVB/FW46 of 88
- AfD + CDU + BVB/FW46 of 88
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.