Single poll

pollytix poll of 8 October 2026 for the Berlin state election

State
Berlin
Commissioned by
The Goodforces
Fieldwork period
2 to 6 Oct 2026
Respondents
1,494
Method
Online

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll pollytix has Linke ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU on 18.0%. 1,494 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Oct 2026, method Online, commissioned by The Goodforces.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, pollytix has Linke 3.6 points higher and CDU 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +3.6average 21.4
  • CDU -1.6average 19.6
  • Grüne -1.6average 15.6
  • AfD -1.0average 18.0
  • BSW +0.8average 4.2
  • FDP +0.1average 2.9
  • SPD ±0average 12.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Linke: 36 seatsCDU: 26 seatsAfD: 24 seatsGrüne: 20 seatsSPD: 17 seatsBSW: 7 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Linke36
  • CDU26
  • AfD24
  • Grüne20
  • SPD17
  • BSW7
  • Linke + CDU + AfD86 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne82 of 130
  • Linke + AfD + Grüne80 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + SPD79 of 130
  • Linke + AfD + SPD77 of 130
  • Linke + Grüne + SPD73 of 130
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne70 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + BSW69 of 130
  • Linke + AfD + BSW67 of 130
  • CDU + AfD + SPD67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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