INSA poll of 21 May 2025 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 20 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU24.0%-2.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- Linke13.0%+6.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- BSW7.0%-5.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jul 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 24.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 May 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jul 2024, Linke gains 6.0 points, BSW loses 5.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 3.0 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -3.0average 16.0
- SPD +2.0average 15.0
- Grüne -1.0average 16.0
- CDU ±0average 24.0
- Linke ±0average 13.0
- BSW ±0average 7.0
- FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU35
- SPD25
- Grüne22
- Linke19
- AfD19
- BSW10
- CDU + SPD + Grüne82 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke79 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD79 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke76 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD73 of 130
- CDU + SPD + BSW70 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + BSW67 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke66 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.