Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 16 July 2026 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
RBB Abendschau / RBB 88.8
Fieldwork period
13 to 15 Jul 2026
Respondents
1,147
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Linke22.0%+2.0
  • CDU20.0%+3.0
  • Grüne17.0%-2.0
  • AfD16.0%-2.0
  • SPD12.0%-1.0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Jul 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Linke ahead on 22.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,147 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Jul 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB Abendschau / RBB 88.8.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Jul 2026, CDU gains 3.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 5.0 points higher and SPD 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +5.0average 17.0
  • SPD -2.5average 14.5
  • AfD -1.5average 17.5
  • Grüne +1.0average 16.0
  • FDP -1.0average 4.0
  • CDU +0.5average 19.5
  • BSW -0.5average 3.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Linke: 33 seatsCDU: 30 seatsGrüne: 25 seatsAfD: 24 seatsSPD: 18 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Linke33
  • CDU30
  • Grüne25
  • AfD24
  • SPD18
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne88 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + AfD87 of 130
  • Linke + Grüne + AfD82 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + SPD81 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD79 of 130
  • Linke + Grüne + SPD76 of 130
  • Linke + AfD + SPD75 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD73 of 130
  • CDU + AfD + SPD72 of 130
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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