Infratest dimap poll of 16 January 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- RBB Abendschau / RBB 88.8
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 14 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 1,173
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU22.0%±0
- Linke18.0%-1.0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Nov 2025.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 22.0%, followed by Linke on 18.0%. 1,173 people were surveyed from 12 to 14 Jan 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB Abendschau / RBB 88.8.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Nov 2025, Linke loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 1.5 points higher and BSW 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.5average 14.5
- BSW -1.5average 4.5
- AfD +1.0average 16.0
- SPD -1.0average 15.0
- CDU -0.5average 22.5
- Linke +0.5average 17.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU33
- Linke27
- AfD25
- Grüne24
- SPD21
- CDU + Linke + AfD85 of 130
- CDU + Linke + Grüne84 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne82 of 130
- CDU + Linke + SPD81 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD79 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD78 of 130
- Linke + AfD + Grüne76 of 130
- Linke + AfD + SPD73 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + SPD72 of 130
- AfD + Grüne + SPD70 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.