Infratest dimap poll of 20 November 2024 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- RBB Abendschau / RBB 88.8
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 18 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,179
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU27.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+3.0
- SPD12.0%-3.0
- BSW7.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%-4.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Apr 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,179 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Nov 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB Abendschau / RBB 88.8.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Apr 2024, Linke loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 6.0 points lower and Grüne 5.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -6.0average 18.0
- Grüne +5.0average 15.0
- BSW -5.0average 12.0
- AfD +3.0average 12.0
- CDU +1.0average 26.0
- Linke -1.0average 7.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU40
- Grüne30
- AfD22
- SPD18
- BSW11
- Linke9
- CDU + Grüne70 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD80 of 130
- CDU + AfD + BSW73 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Linke71 of 130
- Grüne + AfD + SPD70 of 130
- CDU + SPD + BSW69 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.